Mineros de Fresnillo vs Vaqueros Reynosa: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, Fresnillo
The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Vaqueros Reynosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Fresnillo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Vaqueros Reynosa have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cimarrones(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Cimarrones(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 6-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Colima(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 41 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mineros de Fresnillo vs Vaqueros Reynosa?
- The Footlab model makes Mineros de Fresnillo the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Vaqueros Reynosa.
- Where and when is Mineros de Fresnillo vs Vaqueros Reynosa played?
- Mineros de Fresnillo vs Vaqueros Reynosa is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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