Match

FC Santiago vs Acatlan: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC SantiagoAcatlan

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Acatlan?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,727).

FC Santiago win79 %
Draw13 %
Acatlan win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Acatlan have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026Zitacuaro(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026Ciervos(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Cimarrones(home)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Colima(home)1-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Ensenada(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026UA Zacatecas(home)4-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Durango(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Santiago2.00.768/156/15
Acatlan1.72.728/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Acatlan sit 13th (21 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Santiago261475432151
13Acatlan266119397321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Acatlan?
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Acatlan.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Acatlan played?
FC Santiago vs Acatlan is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Santiago and Acatlan

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