Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
The Footlab model makes Mineros de Zacatecas the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Monarcas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Mineros de Zacatecas (1,878) and Monarcas (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mineros de Zacatecas have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Monarcas have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 5-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Leon(away) | 4-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cancún(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Piratas(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 26, 2026 | CA La Paz(home) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mineros de Zacatecas win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Monarcas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Monarcas 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Monarcas 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Monarcas 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Monarcas vs Mineros de Zacatecas on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Monarcas score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Monarcas | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mineros de Zacatecas sit 8th in Liga de Expansión MX (5 points from 3 matches) and Monarcas sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Monarcas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Monarcas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas?
- The Footlab model makes Mineros de Zacatecas the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Monarcas.
- Where and when is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas played?
- Mineros de Zacatecas vs Monarcas is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.