Match

Mirandés II vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

Mirandés IIPalencia CF

The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandés II vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,753) and Palencia CF (1,804).

Mirandés II win41 %
Draw26 %
Palencia CF win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Villaralbo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Arandina(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Bembibre(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mirandés II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Palencia CF win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Palencia CF 3-1 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 21, 2025Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 23, 2025Palencia CF 1-2 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2024Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 2, 2024Mirandés II 0-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 15, 2023Palencia CF 2-0 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Mirandés II on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandés II1.31.5210/158/15
Palencia CF1.71.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Palencia CF3420410593964
8Mirandés II3413813433547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Palencia CF?
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Mirandés II vs Palencia CF played?
Mirandés II vs Palencia CF is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mirandés II and Palencia CF

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