Mirandés II vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs Palencia CF?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,753) and Palencia CF (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mirandés II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Palencia CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Palencia CF 3-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Palencia CF 1-2 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Mirandés II 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Palencia CF 2-0 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Mirandés II on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Palencia CF.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs Palencia CF played?
- Mirandés II vs Palencia CF is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026AlmazánvsUnionistas II
- Sep 6, 2026Burgos PromesasvsVillaralbo
- Sep 6, 2026Cristo AtléticovsBembibre
- Sep 6, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsColegios Diocesanos
- Sep 6, 2026Salamanca IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Sep 6, 2026UD Santa MartavsArandina
- Sep 6, 2026TuréganovsAtlético Mansillés
- Sep 6, 2026Calasanz de SoriavsGuijuelo