Where and when is Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés played?

Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Turégano

Atlético Mansillés

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Turégano (1,735) and Atlético Mansillés (1,781).

Turégano win44 %

Draw29 %

Atlético Mansillés win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Celta Vigo(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023	Santurtzi(home)	3-1	Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022	Velarde(away)	0-1	Copa del Rey

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Turégano	1.0	2.0	0	1/3	2/3
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés?: The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Mansillés.
Where and when is Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés played?: Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.