Match

Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca IILa Virgen del Camino

The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Salamanca II (1,773) and La Virgen del Camino (1,712).

Salamanca II win52 %
Draw27 %
La Virgen del Camino win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen del Camino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mojados(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026Almazán(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Palencia CF(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Becerril Campos(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Arandina(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Salamanca II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 La Virgen del Camino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2023Salamanca II 3-0 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 8, 2022La Virgen del Camino 2-0 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 30, 2022La Virgen del Camino 1-2 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 18, 2021Salamanca II 0-0 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 23, 2021La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2020Salamanca II 1-1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino on Feb 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15
La Virgen del Camino0.91.447/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9La Virgen del Camino3412814313744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino?
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino.
Where and when is Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino played?
Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Salamanca II and La Virgen del Camino

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