Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Salamanca II (1,773) and La Virgen del Camino (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mojados(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Salamanca II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 La Virgen del Camino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Salamanca II 3-0 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | La Virgen del Camino 2-0 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | La Virgen del Camino 1-2 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Salamanca II 0-0 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 23, 2021 | La Virgen del Camino 1-1 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Salamanca II 1-1 La Virgen del Camino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| La Virgen del Camino | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Virgen del Camino | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for La Virgen del Camino.
- Where and when is Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino played?
- Salamanca II vs La Virgen del Camino is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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