ML Vitebsk vs Neman: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen DYuSSh-1, Rohachev
The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Neman. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
ML Vitebsk starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ML Vitebsk vs Neman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3- 9B. Diabaté
- 12R. Bosić
- 80A. Kontsevoy
- 55V. Gromyko
- 27A. Mesarović
- 15V. Bocherov
- 20Z. Volkov
- 6K. Gomanov
- 45I. Moskalenchik
- 23S. Balanovich
- 1P. Pavlyuchenko
Neman
4-2-3-1- 9S. Pushnyakov
- 47M. Kozlov
- 15O. Evdokimov
- 10D. Lisakovich
- 88P. Savitskiy
- 33D. Spătaru
- 8Y. Pantea
- 55D. Girs
- 20I. Sadovnichiy
- 22I. Kirko
- 16N. Matysyuk
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ML Vitebsk have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Neman have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 ML Vitebsk wins, 2 draws, 1 Neman win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Neman 1-2 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | ML Vitebsk 2-2 Neman | Super Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Neman 3-1 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | ML Vitebsk 1-0 Neman | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Neman 0-0 ML Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
ML Vitebsk score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neman score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Neman | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ML Vitebsk sit 2nd in Premier League (44 points from 21 matches) and Neman sit 6th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 37 |
A question about ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
- The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Neman.
- Where and when is ML Vitebsk vs Neman played?
- ML Vitebsk vs Neman is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen DYuSSh-1, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.