Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Dynama, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Arsenal. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal?
Dinamo Minsk is a heavy favourite: 1,881 Elo points against 1,537, a 345-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Minsk have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Arsenal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Neman(home) | 2-3 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dinamo Minsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Arsenal 0-1 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Arsenal 2-1 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Arsenal 1-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Arsenal 0-2 Dinamo Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal vs Dinamo Minsk on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Minsk score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Minsk sit 2nd in Premier League (36 points from 16 matches) and Arsenal sit 11th (21 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Arsenal.
- Where and when is Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal played?
- Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Dynama, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.