Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Spartak, Shklov
The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Belshina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr?
Slavia Mozyr starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belshina have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Slavia Mozyr have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Viktoriya Maryina Horka(away) | 8-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gomel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Volna(away) | 5-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Belshina win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Slavia Mozyr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 2-1 Belshina | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Belshina | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Slavia Mozyr 4-1 Belshina | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Belshina 1-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Belshina 1-4 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Slavia Mozyr 2-0 Belshina | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Mozyr vs Belshina on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Belshina score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Mozyr score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belshina | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belshina sit 13th in Premier League (15 points from 17 matches) and Slavia Mozyr sit 10th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 13 | Belshina | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Belshina.
- Where and when is Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr played?
- Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Spartak, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.