Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Mlada Boleslav (1,970) and FK Jablonec (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mlada Boleslav have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mlada Boleslav win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Mlada Boleslav | Cup |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 3-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FK Jablonec 1-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec played?
- Mlada Boleslav vs FK Jablonec is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.