Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Zbrojovka Brno starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 9-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Baník Ostrava win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zbrojovka Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Baník Ostrava 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Baník Ostrava 1-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| May 1, 2021 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno on May 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.