Match

Modica vs Vibonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

ModicaVibonese

The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Vibonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Modica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Modica vs Vibonese?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Modica (1,635) and Vibonese (1,671).

39%29%32%
Modica winDrawVibonese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Modica vs Vibonese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Modica

Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.

Vibonese

Not enough data to predict the Vibonese lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Modica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Vibonese have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Modica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Digiesse PraiaTortora(away)1-5Serie D - Girone I
Oct 7, 2026Calcio Avola(away)4-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Enna(home)3-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 27, 2026Siracusa(away)0-1Serie D - Girone I
Sep 20, 2026CastrumFavara(home)1-0Serie D - Girone I
Vibonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Reggina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone I
Oct 4, 2026Digiesse PraiaTortora(home)2-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 27, 2026Nissa(away)2-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 20, 2026AC Palermo(home)3-0Serie D - Girone I
Sep 16, 2026Igea Virtus(away)3-4Serie D - Girone I

How many goals should we expect?

Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Vibonese score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Modica1.41.332/84/8
Vibonese1.60.986/155/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Modica sit 13th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Vibonese sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Vibonese742116614
13Modica72147107

A question about Modica vs Vibonese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Modica vs Vibonese?
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Vibonese.
Where and when is Modica vs Vibonese played?
Modica vs Vibonese is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Modica and Vibonese

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