Calcio Avola vs Modica: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Modica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calcio Avola wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calcio Avola vs Modica?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Calcio Avola (1,750) and Modica (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calcio Avola vs Modica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Calcio Avola have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Modica have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Calcio Avola wins, 0 draws, 1 Modica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola 0-4 Modica | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Calcio Avola vs Modica on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Calcio Avola score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 9; Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calcio Avola | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 3/9 | 4/9 |
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calcio Avola sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone I (16 points from 8 matches) and Modica sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 14 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Calcio Avola vs Modica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calcio Avola vs Modica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calcio Avola the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Modica.
- Where and when is Calcio Avola vs Modica played?
- Calcio Avola vs Modica is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.