Siracusa vs Igea Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola de Simone, Siracusa
The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Igea Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Siracusa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siracusa vs Igea Virtus?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Siracusa (1,741) and Igea Virtus (1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Siracusa vs Igea Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Siracusa
Not enough data to predict the Siracusa lineup.
Igea Virtus
Not enough data to predict the Igea Virtus lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siracusa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Igea Virtus have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gela(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nissa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Siracusa wins, 0 draws, 1 Igea Virtus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Igea Virtus 1-3 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Siracusa 3-0 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Igea Virtus 2-1 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Siracusa 1-0 Igea Virtus | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Igea Virtus vs Siracusa on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Siracusa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Igea Virtus score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siracusa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Igea Virtus | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siracusa sit 11th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and Igea Virtus sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Siracusa vs Igea Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siracusa vs Igea Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Igea Virtus.
- Where and when is Siracusa vs Igea Virtus played?
- Siracusa vs Igea Virtus is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola de Simone, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.