Moknine vs Ksour Essef: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mongi-Slim, Moknine
The Footlab AI model makes Moknine the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Ksour Essef. The most likely score is 0-0. If Moknine wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,949 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moknine vs Ksour Essef?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Moknine (1,501) and Ksour Essef (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moknine vs Ksour Essef
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moknine
Not enough data to predict the Moknine lineup.
Ksour Essef
Not enough data to predict the Ksour Essef lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moknine have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Ksour Essef have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Kalaâ Sport(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jendouba Sport(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Redeyef(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2026 | Ariana(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ariana(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CO Medenine(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olympique du Kef(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Moknine win, 0 draws, 1 Ksour Essef win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Moknine 2-1 Ksour Essef | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Ksour Essef 4-2 Moknine | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Moknine vs Ksour Essef on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moknine score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ksour Essef score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moknine | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ksour Essef | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moknine sit 27th in Ligue 2 (1 point from 4 matches) and Ksour Essef sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 27 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
A question about Moknine vs Ksour Essef?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moknine vs Ksour Essef?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moknine the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Ksour Essef.
- Where and when is Moknine vs Ksour Essef played?
- Moknine vs Ksour Essef is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mongi-Slim, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.