Ariana vs AS Kasserine: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal d'Ariana, Ariana
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Ariana, 34% for a draw, 34% for AS Kasserine. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Ariana (1,613) and AS Kasserine (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ariana vs AS Kasserine
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ariana
Not enough data to predict the Ariana lineup.
AS Kasserine
4-3-3- AAlassane Razak Keita
- AA. Aouichaoui
- CC. Fan
- WW. Naghmouchi
- MMahmoud Dridi
- WW. Bahri
- CC. Ben Fradj
- MMoez Jemmali
- AA. Dkhillali
- NN. Nefzi
- SSeddik Chebbi
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ariana have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AS Kasserine have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ksour Essef(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kalaâ Sport(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jendouba Sport(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2026 | Moknine(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CO Medenine(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olympique du Kef(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | EGS Gafsa(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 25, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ariana win, 0 draws, 1 AS Kasserine win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | AS Kasserine 2-0 Ariana | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ariana 2-1 AS Kasserine | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: AS Kasserine vs Ariana on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ariana score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AS Kasserine score 1.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| AS Kasserine | 1.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ariana sit 18th in Ligue 2 (5 points from 4 matches) and AS Kasserine sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Kasserine | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 18 | Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
A question about Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ariana vs AS Kasserine?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Ariana, 34% for a draw, 34% for AS Kasserine.
- Where and when is Ariana vs AS Kasserine played?
- Ariana vs AS Kasserine is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal d'Ariana, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.