Molde II vs Aalesund II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab model makes Molde II the favourite at 63%, against 16% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund II. The most likely score is 3-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde II vs Aalesund II?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Molde II (1,564) and Aalesund II (1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aalesund II have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 6-6 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Herd(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Molde II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Aalesund II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Aalesund II 0-6 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Aalesund II 6-2 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| May 13, 2025 | Molde II 3-5 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Molde II 0-7 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Aalesund II 1-3 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 19, 2022 | Aalesund II 5-2 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Aalesund II vs Molde II on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Molde II score 2.9 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund II score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 91% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde II | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Aalesund II | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molde II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (12 points from 9 matches) and Aalesund II sit 14th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Molde II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 48 | 22 |
| 8 | Molde II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 25 | 12 |
| 11 | Aalesund II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 16 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde II vs Aalesund II?
- The Footlab model makes Molde II the favourite at 63%, against 16% for a draw and 21% for Aalesund II.
- Where and when is Molde II vs Aalesund II played?
- Molde II vs Aalesund II is played on September 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 91% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.