Nardo vs Spjelkavik: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Phonereparatøren Arena, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Spjelkavik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Nardo (1,564) and Spjelkavik (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardo have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Spjelkavik have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Melhus(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volda(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | hodd(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nardo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Spjelkavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spjelkavik 4-2 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nardo 2-2 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Spjelkavik 4-1 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardo score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spjelkavik score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardo | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Spjelkavik | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nardo sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (8 points from 9 matches) and Spjelkavik sit 11th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spjelkavik | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Spjelkavik | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | Nardo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 8 |
| 13 | Nardo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nardo vs Spjelkavik?
- The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Spjelkavik.
- Where and when is Nardo vs Spjelkavik played?
- Nardo vs Spjelkavik is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Phonereparatøren Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.