Mollerussa vs Badalona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal d'Esports, Mollerussa
The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Badalona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mollerussa vs Badalona?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Mollerussa (1,730) and Badalona (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mollerussa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Badalona have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 31, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 24, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mollerussa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Badalona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Mollerussa 0-1 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Badalona 1-1 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Mollerussa vs Badalona on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mollerussa score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Badalona score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mollerussa | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Badalona | 1.2 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mollerussa vs Badalona?
- The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Badalona.
- Where and when is Mollerussa vs Badalona played?
- Mollerussa vs Badalona is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal d'Esports, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.