Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal d'Esports, Mollerussa
The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cerdanyola del Vallès. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Mollerussa (1,730) and Cerdanyola del Vallès (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mollerussa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cerdanyola del Vallès have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vilanova(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mollerussa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cerdanyola del Vallès win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Mollerussa 3-2 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 0-0 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Mollerussa 1-3 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 0-0 Mollerussa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mollerussa score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cerdanyola del Vallès score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mollerussa | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mollerussa sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (40 points from 34 matches) and Cerdanyola del Vallès sit 15th (34 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 43 | 40 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 34 | 6 | 17 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
- The Footlab model makes Mollerussa the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cerdanyola del Vallès.
- Where and when is Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès played?
- Mollerussa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal d'Esports, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.