Peralada vs L'Hospitalet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Peralada, Peralada
The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for L'Hospitalet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peralada vs L'Hospitalet?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Peralada (1,764) and L'Hospitalet (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peralada have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; L'Hospitalet have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Montañesa(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vic(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peralada win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 L'Hospitalet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | L'Hospitalet 3-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Peralada 2-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | L'Hospitalet 0-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Peralada 2-0 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Peralada 1-2 L'Hospitalet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | L'Hospitalet 1-0 Peralada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: L'Hospitalet vs Peralada on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peralada score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; L'Hospitalet score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peralada | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| L'Hospitalet | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peralada sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (46 points from 34 matches) and L'Hospitalet sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | L'Hospitalet | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 39 | 55 |
| 8 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peralada vs L'Hospitalet?
- The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for L'Hospitalet.
- Where and when is Peralada vs L'Hospitalet played?
- Peralada vs L'Hospitalet is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Peralada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.