Where and when is Grama vs Tona played?

Grama vs Tona is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grama vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, Santa Coloma de Gramenet

Grama

Tona

The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grama vs Tona?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Grama (1,828) and Tona (1,758).

Grama win50 %

Draw28 %

Tona win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Manresa(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Vilassar Mar(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Mollerussa(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	San Cristóbal(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Cornellà(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Tona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	L'Escala(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Vilassar Mar(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Mollerussa(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	San Cristóbal(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Cornellà(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grama win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tona win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Grama 2-2 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 28, 2025	Tona 1-3 Grama	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 6, 2025	Grama 0-0 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 24, 2024	Tona 0-2 Grama	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 10, 2024	Grama 3-1 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 22, 2023	Tona 2-0 Grama	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Grama vs Tona on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Grama score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grama	1.6	0.7	7	8/15	7/15
Tona	1.2	0.9	6	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grama sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (54 points from 34 matches) and Tona sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Grama	34	14	13	8	49	35	54
9	Tona	34	10	15	9	35	31	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grama vs Tona?: The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Tona.
Where and when is Grama vs Tona played?: Grama vs Tona is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Camp Municipal de Santa Coloma, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.