Monaco vs Estac Troyes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Estac Troyes. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Estac Troyes?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,142 vs 1,933).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monaco vs Estac Troyes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 11M. Abline
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 37E. Diop
- 7M. Detourbet
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Estac Troyes
4-2-3-1- 9J. Le Douaron
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 11I. Gomis
- 7K. Diawara
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 33P. Beach
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Estac Troyes have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angers(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-6 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Monaco wins, 1 draw, 1 Estac Troyes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Estac Troyes 2-2 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Monaco 2-4 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Monaco 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2018 | Estac Troyes 0-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Monaco 3-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Monaco on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monaco sit 1st in Ligue 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Monaco vs Estac Troyes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Estac Troyes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Estac Troyes.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Estac Troyes played?
- Monaco vs Estac Troyes is played on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.