Lyon vs Paris FC: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Paris FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lyon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon vs Paris FC?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Lyon (2,172) and Paris FC (2,131).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lyon vs Paris FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lyon
4-3-3- 11Keito Nakamura
- 18K. Merah
- 26K. Boudache
- 6T. Tessmann
- 8C. Tolisso
- 99N. Nartey
- 13Z. Athekame
- 19M. Niakhaté
- 21R. Kluivert
- 16Abner
- 1D. Greif
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42Diego Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paris FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Angers(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lyon wins, 3 draws, 0 Paris FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC 0-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lyon 1-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Paris FC 3-3 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon sit 5th in Ligue 1 (17 points from 10 matches) and Paris FC sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
A question about Lyon vs Paris FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Paris FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Paris FC.
- Where and when is Lyon vs Paris FC played?
- Lyon vs Paris FC is played on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Stadium, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.