Auxerre vs Le Havre: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
The Footlab AI model makes Auxerre the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Le Havre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auxerre wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Havre?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Auxerre (1,987) and Le Havre (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auxerre vs Le Havre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auxerre
3-4-2-1- 9C. Archer
- 10D. Namaso
- 27L. Sy
- 5K. Danois
- 22F. Oppegård
- 8N. Ahamada
- 21R. Faivre
- 92C. Akpa
- 46A. Piedfort
- 4A. Tuanzebe
- 23M. Diop
Le Havre
4-2-3-1- 9J. Maja
- 7A. Richardson
- 25M. Samatta
- 26S. Ebonog
- 30S. Nakamura
- 14R. Ndiaye
- 15A. Seko
- 5A. Touba
- 20D. Ouziad
- 23V. Sasso
- 93G. Gallon
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auxerre have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Le Havre have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angers(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Auxerre win, 1 draw, 4 Le Havre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2025 | Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2022 | Le Havre 1-2 Auxerre | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Auxerre 2-3 Le Havre | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Le Havre score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Le Havre | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auxerre sit 16th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Le Havre sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Auxerre vs Le Havre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Le Havre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auxerre the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Le Havre.
- Where and when is Auxerre vs Le Havre played?
- Auxerre vs Le Havre is played on May 29, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.