Montalegre vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chaves II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montalegre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Chaves II?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Montalegre (1,855) and Chaves II (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Chaves II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Chaves II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Montalegre wins, 1 draw, 0 Chaves II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Montalegre 0-0 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Montalegre vs Chaves II on Dec 1, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 6 matches) and Chaves II sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chaves II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Montalegre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Montalegre vs Chaves II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chaves II.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Chaves II played?
- Montalegre vs Chaves II is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.