Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, Ponte da Barca
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Ponte da Barca. The most likely score is 0-0. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Ponte da Barca (1,851) and Celoricense (1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ponte da Barca
Not enough data to predict the Ponte da Barca lineup.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Ponte da Barca have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Celoricense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte da Barca score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 10; Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte da Barca | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte da Barca sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (3 points from 4 matches) and Celoricense sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Ponte da Barca.
- Where and when is Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense played?
- Ponte da Barca vs Celoricense is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.