Montalegre vs Rebordosa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A · Matchday 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rebordosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montalegre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Rebordosa?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Montalegre (1,849) and Rebordosa (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Rebordosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Rebordosa
Not enough data to predict the Rebordosa lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rebordosa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brito(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 8-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rebordosa score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Rebordosa | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 4th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (12 points from 7 matches) and Rebordosa sit 8th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montalegre | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Rebordosa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
A question about Montalegre vs Rebordosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Rebordosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rebordosa.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Rebordosa played?
- Montalegre vs Rebordosa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.