Montalegre vs Rebordosa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab model makes Montalegre the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Rebordosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Rebordosa?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Montalegre (1,800) and Rebordosa (1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rebordosa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Sandinenses(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Os Limianos(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Vila Real(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| May 31, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 22, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rebordosa score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Rebordosa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (4 points from 2 matches) and Rebordosa sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montalegre | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Rebordosa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Rebordosa?
- The Footlab model makes Montalegre the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Rebordosa.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Rebordosa played?
- Montalegre vs Rebordosa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.