Maia Lidador vs Celoricense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 25Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Maia Lidador the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Celoricense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maia Lidador wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,124 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Celoricense?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Maia Lidador (1,820) and Celoricense (1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maia Lidador vs Celoricense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maia Lidador
Not enough data to predict the Maia Lidador lineup.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Maia Lidador have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Celoricense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 5-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 4-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Maia Lidador score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 11; Celoricense score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Lidador | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
| Celoricense | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maia Lidador sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (8 points from 7 matches) and Celoricense sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celoricense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Maia Lidador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Maia Lidador vs Celoricense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maia Lidador vs Celoricense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maia Lidador the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Celoricense.
- Where and when is Maia Lidador vs Celoricense played?
- Maia Lidador vs Celoricense is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.