Montalegre vs Vinhais: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 13Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Vinhais. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Vinhais?
Montalegre starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Vinhais
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Vinhais
Not enough data to predict the Vinhais lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Vinhais have 0, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vinhais score 0.5 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Vinhais | 0.5 | 3.1 | 0 | 6/11 | 10/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 8th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (6 points from 4 matches) and Vinhais sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Montalegre vs Vinhais?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Vinhais?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Vinhais.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Vinhais played?
- Montalegre vs Vinhais is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.