Montañesa vs Vilanova: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Vilanova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañesa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Vilanova?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,749) and Vilanova (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Vilanova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Vilanova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Montañesa wins, 1 draw, 1 Vilanova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vilanova 2-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Montañesa 0-0 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilanova vs Montañesa on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vilanova score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Vilanova | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 6 matches) and Vilanova sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Vilanova | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
A question about Montañesa vs Vilanova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Vilanova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Vilanova.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Vilanova played?
- Montañesa vs Vilanova is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.