Vilassar Mar vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, Vilassar de Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Tona?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Vilassar Mar (1,652) and Tona (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilassar Mar vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilassar Mar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vilassar Mar wins, 1 draw, 3 Tona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Vilassar Mar 3-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Tona 2-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Tona 2-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 0-3 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 11, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 2-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Tona 1-1 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vilassar Mar score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilassar Mar sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Vilassar Mar vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilassar Mar vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Vilassar Mar vs Tona played?
- Vilassar Mar vs Tona is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.