Montañeses vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), Orizaba
The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañeses wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,979 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañeses vs Chapulineros?
On Elo ratings, Montañeses has 1,876 points and Chapulineros 1,784.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañeses vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañeses
Not enough data to predict the Montañeses lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañeses have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chapulineros have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Montañeses wins, 0 draws, 1 Chapulineros win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chapulineros 2-1 Montañeses | Primera Premier |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chapulineros 0-2 Montañeses | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Montañeses 2-1 Chapulineros | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Chapulineros vs Montañeses on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montañeses score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañeses | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañeses sit 8th in Primera Premier (10 points from 8 matches) and Chapulineros sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montañeses | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Montañeses vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañeses vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Montañeses vs Chapulineros played?
- Montañeses vs Chapulineros is played on March 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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