Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Canchas Curiel, Las Juntas
The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Chapulineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tritons Vallarta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Tritons Vallarta (1,839) and Chapulineros (1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritons Vallarta have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chapulineros have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tritons Vallarta wins, 0 draws, 1 Chapulineros win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chapulineros 2-1 Tritons Vallarta | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: Chapulineros vs Tritons Vallarta on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chapulineros score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Chapulineros | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tritons Vallarta sit 18th in Primera Premier (2 points from 7 matches) and Chapulineros sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chapulineros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 11 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Chapulineros.
- Where and when is Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros played?
- Tritons Vallarta vs Chapulineros is played on March 5, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Canchas Curiel, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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