Match

Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas: prediction and stats

Primera PremierMatchday 24Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), Orizaba

MontañesesH2O Purepechas

The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañeses wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Montañeses (1,921) and H2O Purepechas (1,862).

42%27%31%
Montañeses winDrawH2O Purepechas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montañeses

Not enough data to predict the Montañeses lineup.

H2O Purepechas

Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañeses have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; H2O Purepechas have 2, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montañeses
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)2-0Primera Premier
Nov 8, 2026Los Cabos United(home)2-1Primera Premier
Nov 1, 2026H2O Purepechas(away)1-2Primera Premier
Oct 25, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)0-3Primera Premier
Oct 17, 2026Chapulineros(away)1-2Primera Premier
H2O Purepechas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Tritons Vallarta(away)0-0Primera Premier
Nov 8, 2026Jaguares de Chiapas(away)1-1Primera Premier
Nov 1, 2026Montañeses(home)2-1Primera Premier
Oct 24, 2026Tapachula(away)0-1Primera Premier
Oct 11, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)2-0Primera Premier

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Montañeses wins, 0 draws, 1 H2O Purepechas win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026H2O Purepechas 2-1 MontañesesPrimera Premier

Last archived meeting: H2O Purepechas vs Montañeses on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montañeses score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; H2O Purepechas score 0.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montañeses1.61.5211/1511/15
H2O Purepechas0.61.023/102/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montañeses sit 7th in Primera Premier (16 points from 12 matches) and H2O Purepechas sit 16th (9 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Montañeses12516182116
16H2O Purepechas102356109

A question about Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas?
The Footlab AI model makes Montañeses the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for H2O Purepechas.
Where and when is Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas played?
Montañeses vs H2O Purepechas is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma (SOCUM), in the Primera Premier.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montañeses and H2O Purepechas