Celaya vs Los Cabos United: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Los Cabos United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Los Cabos United?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Los Cabos United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Los Cabos United
Not enough data to predict the Los Cabos United lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Los Cabos United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Cabos United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Los Cabos United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 6th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Los Cabos United sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Cabos United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Celaya vs Los Cabos United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Los Cabos United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Los Cabos United.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Los Cabos United played?
- Celaya vs Los Cabos United is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027ChapulinerosvsLobos ULMX
- Mar 13, 2027Racing de VeracruzvsZacatepec 1948
- Mar 13, 2027Pioneros de CancúnvsTritons Vallarta
- Mar 13, 2027TapachulavsTigres de Alica
- Mar 13, 2027Deportiva VenadosvsIrapuato
- Mar 14, 2027Jaguares de ChiapasvsCordobés
- Mar 14, 2027Inter Playa del CarmenvsReboceros La Piedad
- Mar 14, 2027MontañesesvsH2O Purepechas