Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica: prediction and stats
Primera PremierMatchday 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tigres de Alica wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica?
Tigres de Alica starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Tigres de Alica
Not enough data to predict the Tigres de Alica lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Tigres de Alica have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 4-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tapachula wins, 0 draws, 1 Tigres de Alica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tigres de Alica 4-1 Tapachula | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres de Alica score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tigres de Alica | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 18th in Primera Premier (6 points from 10 matches) and Tigres de Alica sit 5th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
| 18 | Tapachula | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 6 |
A question about Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tigres de Alica the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica played?
- Tapachula vs Tigres de Alica is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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