Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chapulineros wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Chapulineros (1,784) and Lobos ULMX (1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapulineros have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Lobos ULMX have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapulineros sit 11th in Primera Premier (8 points from 7 matches) and Lobos ULMX sit 15th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX played?
- Chapulineros vs Lobos ULMX is played on March 13, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 14, 2027Jaguares de ChiapasvsCordobés
- Mar 14, 2027Inter Playa del CarmenvsReboceros La Piedad
- Mar 14, 2027CelayavsLos Cabos United
- Mar 14, 2027MontañesesvsH2O Purepechas