Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Montevarchi Calcio have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Prato wins, 1 draw, 0 Montevarchi Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Prato 2-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (14 points from 6 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Prato vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026GavorranovsProgresso
- Nov 29, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSeravezza
- Nov 29, 2026MezzolaravsLucchese
- Nov 29, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsGrassina
- Nov 29, 2026FlaminiavsRobur Siena
- Nov 29, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsTernana
- Nov 29, 2026ScandiccivsTau Altopascio
- Nov 29, 2026Terranuova TraianavsRondinella