Montpellier vs Nancy: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab model makes Montpellier the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nancy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Nancy?
Montpellier starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Nancy have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Montpellier win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nancy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nancy 0-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Nancy 0-3 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Montpellier 4-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Montpellier 3-2 Nancy | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Nancy 0-3 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Montpellier 0-0 Nancy | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nancy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Nancy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 2nd in Ligue 2 (7 points from 3 matches) and Nancy sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Montpellier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Nancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Nancy?
- The Footlab model makes Montpellier the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nancy.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Nancy played?
- Montpellier vs Nancy is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.