Boulogne vs Guingamp: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
The Footlab AI model makes Guingamp the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guingamp wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boulogne vs Guingamp?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Boulogne (1,804) and Guingamp (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boulogne vs Guingamp
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boulogne
3-4-3- 10A. Hbouch
- 12J. Boyer
- 17B. Besic
- 14J. Bultel
- 19N. Binet
- 8J. Martin
- 11N. Fatar
- 18D. Thiam
- 25A. Kerriou
- 15A. Pinot
- 99Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
Guingamp
4-4-2- 22B. Bokangu
- 10A. Hemia
- 4D. Louiserre
- 21T. Ahile
- 20S. Ben Brahim
- 8F. Da Silva
- 2E. Koffi
- 5T. Ollila
- 36A. Demouchy
- 24J. Dianganga
- 16Adrián Ortolá
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boulogne have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Guingamp have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Boulogne win, 2 draws, 2 Guingamp wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guingamp 1-0 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Boulogne 2-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 17, 2012 | Guingamp 1-1 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Boulogne 2-0 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Guingamp | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boulogne sit 16th in Ligue 2 (6 points from 8 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Boulogne vs Guingamp?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boulogne vs Guingamp?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guingamp the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Boulogne vs Guingamp played?
- Boulogne vs Guingamp is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Libération, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.