Rodez vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Rodez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodez vs Saint Etienne?
On Elo ratings, Rodez has 1,882 points and Saint Etienne 1,955.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodez vs Saint Etienne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 13João Ferreira
- 30G. Larsonneur
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Saint Etienne have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rodez win, 2 draws, 3 Saint Etienne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 15, 2026 | Saint Etienne 0-0 Rodez | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Rodez 2-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Saint Etienne 4-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 24, 2024 | Saint Etienne 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2024 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Rodez on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Saint Etienne | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodez sit 15th in Ligue 2 (7 points from 8 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Rodez vs Saint Etienne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Saint Etienne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Rodez.
- Where and when is Rodez vs Saint Etienne played?
- Rodez vs Saint Etienne is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.