Rodez vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Saint Etienne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodez vs Saint Etienne?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Rodez (1,935) and Saint Etienne (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Saint Etienne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 5-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rodez win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Saint Etienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Saint Etienne 0-0 Rodez | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Rodez 2-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Saint Etienne 4-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 24, 2024 | Saint Etienne 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2024 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Rodez 2-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Rodez on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodez score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Saint Etienne | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodez sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (6 points from 3 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Rodez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Saint Etienne?
- The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Saint Etienne.
- Where and when is Rodez vs Saint Etienne played?
- Rodez vs Saint Etienne is played on May 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.