Montpellier vs Nantes: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nantes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier vs Nantes?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Montpellier (1,958) and Nantes (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier vs Nantes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Nantes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montpellier win, 1 draw, 4 Nantes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Nantes 3-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Montpellier 1-3 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Montpellier 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Nantes 2-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Nantes 0-3 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Montpellier 0-3 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nantes vs Montpellier on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier sit 3rd in Ligue 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Nantes sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Montpellier vs Nantes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier vs Nantes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nantes.
- Where and when is Montpellier vs Nantes played?
- Montpellier vs Nantes is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.