Saint Etienne vs Nancy: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Nancy. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nancy?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nancy have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Epinal(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saint Etienne win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nancy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nancy 1-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Saint Etienne 2-1 Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| May 20, 2017 | Nancy 3-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Saint Etienne 0-0 Nancy | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Saint Etienne 0-1 Nancy | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Saint Etienne 1-0 Nancy | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Nancy vs Saint Etienne on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nancy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Nancy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (9 points from 3 matches) and Nancy sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nancy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Nancy?
- The Footlab model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Nancy.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Nancy played?
- Saint Etienne vs Nancy is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.