Montpellier W vs Lens W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier W the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lens W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier W vs Lens W?
Montpellier W starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,637).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier W vs Lens W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier W
4-1-4-1- 11J. Rouquet
- 20A. Fontaine
- 18A. JelenÄiÄ
- 10A. Binaté
- 6E. Palis
- 11J. Rouquet
- 4M. Torrent
- 12G. Gillard
- 21S. Haering
- 13M. Revelli
- 16S. Durand
Lens W
5-4-1- 9Celia Agoune
- 22E. Smaali
- 10N. Gelders
- 29M. Duporge
- 28R. Éloissaint
- 7L. Archier
- 21Laureen Oillic
- 23F. Rossi
- 19L. Notel
- 18J. Evrard
- 3J. Limage
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier W have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Lens W have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Havre W(home) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nantes W(away) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marseille W(home) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint-Malo W(away) | 0-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg W(home) | 1-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paris FC W(away) | 1-4 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 2-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marseille W(away) | 1-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W(home) | 0-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montpellier W win, 0 draws, 1 Lens W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Lens W 2-1 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Montpellier W 3-1 Lens W | Feminine Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lens W vs Montpellier W on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier W score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lens W score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier W | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Lens W | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier W sit 7th in Feminine Division 1 (6 points from 5 matches) and Lens W sit 11th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Montpellier W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Lens W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
A question about Montpellier W vs Lens W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier W vs Lens W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier W the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lens W.
- Where and when is Montpellier W vs Lens W played?
- Montpellier W vs Lens W is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.