Montrose vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Airdrie United?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Montrose (1,594) and Airdrie United (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Airdrie United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montrose win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Airdrie United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Airdrie United 3-1 Montrose | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Montrose 1-2 Airdrie United | League Cup |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Airdrie United 3-0 Montrose | League One |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Montrose 2-4 Airdrie United | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Airdrie United 4-0 Montrose | League One |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Montrose 4-2 Airdrie United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Montrose on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Airdrie United | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 8th in League One (3 points from 4 matches) and Airdrie United sit 9th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 9 | Airdrie United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Airdrie United.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Airdrie United played?
- Montrose vs Airdrie United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.