Montrose vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montrose wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Airdrie United?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Montrose (1,609) and Airdrie United (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montrose vs Airdrie United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montrose
4-4-1-1- 16J. Sutherland
- 12K. Freeman
- 6S. Byrne
- 11B. Lyons
- 8J. Barjonas
- 22H. Craig
- 5S. McGinty
- 4A. Quinn
- 3F. Duffy
- 2R. Williamson
- 1C. Gill
Airdrie United
4-1-2-1-2- 25J. Gentles
- 10M. Yates
- 27L. Gibson
- 16C. Smith
- 4C. Ross
- 8G. Gallagher
- 5S. Fisher
- 31D. Gallagher
- 2D. MacDonald
- 24R. Tumilty
- 20C. Melrose
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 06:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Airdrie United have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 5-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montrose wins, 0 draws, 6 Airdrie United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-0 Montrose | League One |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Airdrie United 3-1 Montrose | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Montrose 1-2 Airdrie United | League Cup |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Airdrie United 3-0 Montrose | League One |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Montrose 2-4 Airdrie United | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Airdrie United 4-0 Montrose | League One |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Montrose on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Airdrie United | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 4th in League One (20 points from 14 matches) and Airdrie United sit 5th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montrose | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 16 |
A question about Montrose vs Airdrie United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Airdrie United.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Airdrie United played?
- Montrose vs Airdrie United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.