Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peterhead
4-2-3-1- 7L. Keir
- 21D. Forrest
- 6B. Yule
- 18Z. To
- 8A. McCarthy
- 9M. Megginson
- 5Jason Brown
- 4A. Graham
- 2D. Strachan
- 46Josh Kerr
- 31C. Hepburn
Hamilton Academical
4-3-3- 27S. McKinstry
- 29A. Ryan
- 7D. Thomas
- 6C. Blues
- 17S. Bannigan
- 8K. MacDonald
- 33S. Hendrie
- 3T. Gallacher
- 2A. Comrie
- 16K. Smutek
- 1D. Lyness
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Peterhead wins, 1 draw, 5 Hamilton Academical wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Peterhead 0-1 Hamilton Academical | League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 3-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Peterhead 2-3 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 3-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Peterhead 2-2 Hamilton Academical | League One |
Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hamilton Academical | 2.1 | 0.4 | 11 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 9th in League One (7 points from 10 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 2nd (25 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical played?
- Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.