Alloa Athletic vs Ross County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ross County wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Ross County?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Ross County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 12S. Scougall
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 1R. Stewart
Ross County
4-2-3-1- 9Brian Graham
- 6C. Randall
- 23R. Docherty
- 16C. Hamilton
- 19L. McCarvel
- 7R. Chin
- 4A. Wright
- 3L. Strapp
- 5L. Reid
- 15D. Smith
- 1B. Foster-Theniger
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ross County have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 14-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alloa Athletic win, 0 draws, 5 Ross County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County 4-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Alloa Athletic 0-2 Ross County | League Cup |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Ross County | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Ross County 2-0 Alloa Athletic | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Alloa Athletic 0-1 Ross County | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2018 | Ross County 1-0 Alloa Athletic | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ross County vs Alloa Athletic on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ross County score 4.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ross County | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 8th in League One (9 points from 10 matches) and Ross County sit 1st (25 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs Ross County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Ross County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Ross County played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Ross County is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.