Monza vs Bologna: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)U-Power Stadium, Monza
The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Monza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bologna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monza vs Bologna?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Monza (1,879) and Bologna (1,951).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monza vs Bologna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monza
3-4-2-1- 9Gustavo Varela
- 7Ricardo Mangas
- 19S. Birindelli
- 14E. Akinsanmiro
- 90M. Folorunsho
- 16C. Ngonge
- 22E. Zeballos
- 3L. Lucchesi
- 60E. Kouadio
- 44A. Carboni
- 1N. Törnqvist
Bologna
3-4-2-1- 91R. Piccoli
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 19L. Ferguson
- 4T. Pobega
- 33Juan Miranda
- 20N. Zortea
- 7R. Orsolini
- 14T. Heggem
- 16N. Casale
- 36M. Darmian
- 25M. Pessina
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bologna have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Monza win, 2 draws, 3 Bologna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Bologna 3-1 Monza | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Bologna 4-0 Monza | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Monza 1-2 Bologna | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Bologna 0-0 Monza | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Monza 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Bologna 0-1 Monza | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Monza score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bologna | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monza sit 16th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Bologna sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Monza vs Bologna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monza vs Bologna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Monza.
- Where and when is Monza vs Bologna played?
- Monza vs Bologna is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at U-Power Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.