Monza vs Inter: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)U-Power Stadium, Monza
The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Monza. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monza vs Inter?
Inter is a heavy favourite: 2,298 Elo points against 1,960 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monza have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Inter have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monza(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Monza win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Inter win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter 4-1 Monza | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Monza 2-2 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Inter 3-2 Monza | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Monza 1-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Monza 1-5 Inter | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Inter 2-0 Monza | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Monza score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 2.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Inter | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monza sit 20th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Inter sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monza vs Inter?
- The Footlab model makes Inter the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Monza.
- Where and when is Monza vs Inter played?
- Monza vs Inter is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at U-Power Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.